BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
South Florida
Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 146.91
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 155.42 34 14 1B 25 ( 6- 5) Elon 8.51 11.49
2 09/08/2018 Home W 170.05 49 38 1A 46 ( 7- 5) Georgia Tech 23.14 -12.14
3 09/15/2018 Neutral W 149.16 25 19 1A 102 ( 4- 8) Illinois 2.25 3.75
4 09/22/2018 Home W * 141.66 20 13 1A 120 ( 3- 9) East Carolina -5.26 12.26
5 10/06/2018 Away W 156.76 58 42 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Massachusetts 9.84 6.16
6 10/12/2018 Away W * 147.23 25 24 1A 101 ( 3- 9) Tulsa 0.32 0.68
7 10/20/2018 Home W * 130.79 38 30 1A 128 ( 1- 11) Connecticut -16.12 24.12
8 10/27/2018 Away L * 138.66 36 57 1A 60 ( 8- 4) Houston -8.26 -12.74
9 11/03/2018 Home L * 123.36 15 41 1A 87 ( 7- 6) Tulane -23.55 -2.45
10 11/10/2018 Away L * 156.29 23 35 1A 33 ( 10- 2) Cincinnati 9.38 -21.38
11 11/17/2018 Away L * 153.72 17 27 1A 49 ( 8- 4) Temple 6.81 -16.81
12 11/23/2018 Home L * 139.86 10 38 1A 18 ( 12- 0) Central Florida -7.05 -20.95
13 12/20/2018 Home 1A 89 ( 8- 4) Marshall -0.95
Averages 146.91 29.2 31.5
Best game: 170.05 = 11 point win over Georgia Tech
Worst game: 123.36 = 26 point loss to Tulane
Team stdev: 12.81